Mood:

Topic: How do you know?
Q: How do you know when or which formula to use?
A: Always draw the tree first.
for two branches case:
1. If the question is conditional: it will ask for the probability of the second branch given the first branch
Read question #38 in 8.3
2. If the question is Bayes: it will ask for the probability of the first branch given the second branch. ( Reversal )
Read question #25 in 8.4.